| 摘要: |
| 评估城市树木的安全风险级别及其区域特点是提高
树木精细化管理水平的重要措施，也是提高城市公共安全的
重要内容。利用GIS技术，结合信息采集和数据处理分析，以
上海市为例开展行道树的安全风险评估研究。采用风险矩阵表
法，将潜在风险可能性及风险后果的严重程度进行量化，实
现了定性分析与定量分析的结合。将相关数据导入GIS软件和
Canoco 5软件分别进行空间分析和相关性分析。结果表明：
1)上海大部分行道树处于中等风险水平，风险较高的区域主
要集中在中心城区的黄浦等区域；2)中心城区、外环区域及
沿海区域的行道树风险点分别集中于树干、根部和枝干部分；
3)利用GIS空间分析和RDA冗余分析从城市区域层面进行行
道树安全风险评估，有利于相关部门进行行道树规划和制定相
应的管理措施。 |
| 关键词: 园林植物 行道树 风险矩阵 GIS技术 空间分
析 冗余分析 风险评估 |
| DOI： |
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| 基金项目: |
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| Research on Safety Risk Assessment of Urban Street Trees in Shanghai |
| HE Kun,SONG Ping,WANG Benyao,YAN Wei,SONG Ting |
| Abstract: |
| It is an important measure to improve the management
level of the urban trees by assessing their safety risk level and
regional characteristics. It is also an important part of the public
security. For instance, assessing the safety risk of Shanghai street
trees connects with serial skills, including GIS, information
collection and data processing. The risk matrix method is used to
quantify the level of potential risk and possible consequence. It
makes the qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis combined.
Input relative data into GIS and Canoco 5 to do spatial analysis and
correlation analysis. It shows: 1) most of the street trees in Shanghai
are at medium risk level and the higher-risk are mainly at the centre
of the city, such as Huangpu; 2) The risky parts of the street trees,
which locate centre of the city, outer ring area and coastal area,
mainly come from their trunks, roots and branches; 3) Assessing
the risk level of street trees with GIS spatial analysis and RDA
redundancy analysis is beneficial to instruct street tree plan and
make correlative management measures. |
| Key words: landscape plant street tree risk matrix GIS technology spatial analysis redundancy analysis risk assessment |
